Forecast model & 5 year business plan for GBI

Project designed to reassess market demand, develop a long-term forecasting model, and define a strategic five-year business plan to guide investment decisions and align stakeholders around a unified growth direction.


The challenge

GBI’s original business case was more than two years old, and market conditions had evolved significantly.
The company needed a refreshed understanding of current demand, revenue potential, and operational cost implications.
A strategic five-year business plan was also required to align C-level leadership and shareholders on priorities, market direction, and future operational requirements.

Project outline

1. Market demand review and forecasting model
  • Assessed current market conditions using a combination of external research and internal market insights.

  • Developed a structured methodology to validate demand assumptions and challenge previously used parameters.

  • Built a comprehensive forecasting model incorporating consolidated market data and agreed assumptions.

  • Produced a 15-year sales forecast with a sensitivity analysis module enabling “what-if” scenario testing across key variables.

  • Integrated the forecasting model with GBI’s financial model to benchmark key financial indicators such as IRR and NPV.

2. Development of a 5-year business plan
  • Conducted workshops with GBI management to refine revenue projections and define the commercial strategy required to achieve them.

  • Performed a high-level assessment of operational expenditures and extrapolated a five-year cost forecast based on OPEX trends.

  • Evaluated additional investments required to support future sales delivery and business growth.

  • Compiled findings into a comprehensive five-year business plan, including financial projections, operational risks, and mitigation actions.

  • Supported communication of the strategy to executive management and the Board.

Our impact

  • Provided GBI with a current, data-driven view of market demand and long-term revenue potential.

  • Delivered a robust forecasting model with scenario-based capabilities to support investment decisions.

  • Enabled alignment between senior leadership and shareholders on a unified five-year strategic direction.

  • Strengthened the company’s ability to plan future operations and secure investment through a credible, evidence-based business plan.